It’s been a few weeks now, but long-time Framework member, Wilson M. wrote in asking about Disney DIS. I did a quick valuation of the company than, and it screened as being overvalued.

Knowing that Disney is a widely-held name, I decided to put the model on the back burner until I could take a closer look. Over the last week, I’ve been digging into the company with the assistance of another professional analyst, and our deeper dive implies the same thing I found in the earlier screen: Disney’s share price looks like it’s gotten ahead of itself.

Figure 1. Source: CBOE (data), Framework Investing Analysis. Present price of Disney is around $98 / share, equal to the second valuation column from the right.

One of our members is an industry insider, and I’ve reached out to him for his impressions as well. I’ll update our Framework Forum with our discussions about the firm (see below for link).

Here is a copy of the model – feel free to download it and check our inputs!

Framework Valuation Model – Disney (DIS) 

I’ve opened a Framework Forum thread to discuss Disney, so please post your questions and comments there!

Here’s the Valuation Waterfall for Disney:

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